Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Patrick on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 52.1% vs Kuraly 55.9% (-4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Patrick 78.1%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 70.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.6%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 60.0%
60.0%
40.0%
Patrick
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
5
(9 meetings)
4
5
Patrick
Kuraly
Last 9: Patrick 4-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
3
1
Patrick
Kuraly
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
0
1
Patrick
Kuraly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
3
Patrick
Kuraly
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (371)
58.4% (310)
-7.2%
Power Play
62.2% (37)
66.7% (6)
-4.5%
Penalty Kill
59.1% (22)
53.0% (83)
+6.1%
On even strength, Kuraly has a +7.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Patrick is 50.8% vs left-shot opponents (242).
Patrick shoots right. Kuraly is 52.1% vs right-shot opponents (190).
Home / Away
Patrick
Kuraly
Home
48.5% (231)
57.1% (184)
Away
57.3% (199)
57.7% (215)
By Period
Patrick
Kuraly
P1
52.0%
56.0%
P2
52.3%
56.6%
P3
53.2%
58.0%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
62.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
52.6%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
57.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |