Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (51.0% vs 50.3%). Look for Kuraly on neutral-zone draws (70% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Patrick 51.0% vs Kuraly 50.3% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Kuraly leads 11-10 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Patrick 88.3%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 75.1%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.2%
Result
Nolan Patrick favored at 57.9%
57.9%
42.1%
Patrick
Kuraly
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
11
(21 meetings)
10
11
Patrick
Kuraly
Last 10: Patrick 5-5 Kuraly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Patrick
5
2
Patrick
Kuraly
7 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
Patrick
Kuraly
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
3
7
Patrick
Kuraly
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Patrick
Kuraly
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (1,978)
51.5% (5,141)
-0.9%
Power Play
57.5% (120)
56.0% (100)
+1.5%
Penalty Kill
57.7% (26)
44.2% (1,086)
+13.5%
On penalty kill, Patrick has a +13.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kuraly shoots left. Patrick is 49.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,441).
Patrick shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Home / Away
Patrick
Kuraly
Home
49.7% (1,106)
51.9% (3,187)
Away
52.5% (1,018)
48.7% (3,141)
By Period
Patrick
Kuraly
P1
52.9%
51.1%
P2
49.1%
49.9%
P3
51.3%
50.0%
OT
40.0%
52.3%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Patrick
36.0%▼
49.5%
51.0%
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2022 | 2 | 19:16 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 10, 2021 | 3 | 18:18 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 6, 2021 | 1 | 07:09 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 18:15 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 3 | 06:10 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Apr 5, 2021 | 2 | 07:05 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Feb 21, 2021 | 3 | 03:22 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 5, 2021 | 3 | 12:16 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 23, 2021 | 3 | 13:33 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 21, 2021 | 3 | 09:20 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 31, 2019 | 2 | 01:12 | Offensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 3 | 08:26 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:06 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 16, 2019 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 25, 2018 | 2 | 17:28 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 3 | 08:48 | Neutral | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 15:07 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 00:12 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Nolan Patrick |
| Mar 8, 2018 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |