Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +7.1% FO% edge overall. Kuraly wins 44.5% vs right-shot opponents — Wilson shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 49.5% vs Wilson 47.4% (+7.1%)
Offensive zone
Wilson 73.7%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.8%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 56.5%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Kuraly
Wilson
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Wilson
Edge
Even Strength
52.3% (982)
43.5% (23)
+8.8%
Power Play
41.9% (43)
31.8% (22)
+10.1%
Penalty Kill
39.2% (245)
71.4% (7)
-32.2%
On penalty kill, Wilson has a +32.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wilson shoots right. Kuraly is 44.5% vs right-shot opponents (411).
Kuraly shoots left. Wilson is 34.2% vs left-shot opponents (38).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Wilson
Home
50.3% (680)
48.0% (25)
Away
48.5% (590)
37.0% (27)
By Period
Kuraly
Wilson
P1
49.5%
33.3%
P2
49.6%
64.3%
P3
49.0%
41.7%
OT
57.1%
0.0%
Final 5 min
47.9%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
53.5%
49.4%
Wilson
40.0%▬
39.0%
42.3%