Scouting Report
Sean Kuraly holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings). Kuraly wins 45.9% vs right-shot opponents — Boyd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.3% vs Boyd 44.1% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Boyd leads 8-8 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Boyd 62.8%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 81.5%
Neutral zone
Kuraly 50.0%
Result
Sean Kuraly favored at 60.2%
60.2%
39.8%
Kuraly
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
8
(16 meetings)
8
8
Kuraly
Boyd
Last 10: Kuraly 4-6 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
6
Kuraly
Boyd
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kuraly
6
2
Kuraly
Boyd
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kuraly
1
0
Kuraly
Boyd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (5,141)
44.4% (2,186)
+7.1%
Power Play
56.0% (100)
46.5% (256)
+9.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,086)
35.6% (208)
+8.6%
On power play, Kuraly has a +9.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Kuraly is 45.9% vs right-shot opponents (2,226).
Kuraly shoots left. Boyd is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (1,838).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Boyd
Home
51.9% (3,187)
46.3% (1,327)
Away
48.7% (3,141)
41.5% (1,324)
By Period
Kuraly
Boyd
P1
51.1%
41.7%
P2
49.9%
46.2%
P3
50.0%
44.0%
OT
52.3%
22.2%
Final 5 min
49.0%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 16, 2023 | 3 | 15:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 3 | 16:18 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 19, 2023 | 1 | 08:07 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 12:32 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 3 | 10:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 2 | 04:06 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 25, 2022 | 1 | 09:00 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 3 | 08:38 | Defensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 16:52 | Neutral | Sean Kuraly |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 2 | 05:54 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Nov 18, 2021 | 1 | 03:44 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Feb 3, 2019 | 3 | 02:11 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Feb 3, 2019 | 1 | 13:38 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 12:44 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 06:19 | Offensive | Sean Kuraly |