Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (50.3% vs 50.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kuraly 50.3% vs Smith 50.6% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Smith 71.4%
Defensive zone
Kuraly 58.7%
Neutral zone
Smith 55.0%
Result
Zack Smith favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Kuraly
Smith
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Kuraly
Smith
Last 6: Kuraly 1-5 Smith
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Kuraly
Smith
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kuraly
Smith
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Smith
0
2
Kuraly
Smith
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kuraly
Smith
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (5,141)
51.6% (5,265)
-0.1%
Power Play
56.0% (100)
51.2% (342)
+4.8%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (1,086)
45.3% (985)
-1.1%
On power play, Kuraly has a +4.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Smith shoots left. Kuraly is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (4,102).
Kuraly shoots left. Smith is 52.2% vs left-shot opponents (4,205).
Home / Away
Kuraly
Smith
Home
51.9% (3,187)
52.5% (3,289)
Away
48.7% (3,141)
48.7% (3,310)
By Period
Kuraly
Smith
P1
51.1%
49.9%
P2
49.9%
50.0%
P3
50.0%
51.9%
OT
52.3%
51.6%
Final 5 min
49.0%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kuraly
64.0%▲
57.0%
50.3%
Smith
40.0%▼
47.0%
50.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 17:03 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 02:04 | Offensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 3 | 01:52 | Defensive | Zack Smith |
| Oct 8, 2018 | 2 | 07:08 | Neutral | Zack Smith |
| Jan 25, 2018 | 3 | 01:28 | Defensive | Sean Kuraly |