Scouting Report
Aatu Raty holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Raty on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Raty wins 59.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Raty 55.7% vs Monahan 52.4% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 59.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 61.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 74.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 67.4%
32.6%
67.4%
Raty
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Raty
Monahan
Last 6: Raty 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Raty
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Raty
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Raty
2
1
Raty
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Raty
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.8% (310)
52.4% (853)
+4.4%
Power Play
72.7% (11)
58.6% (174)
+14.1%
Penalty Kill
58.3% (12)
46.5% (144)
+11.8%
On power play, Raty has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Raty is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (205).
Raty shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Raty
Monahan
Home
57.1% (168)
53.4% (624)
Away
57.6% (165)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Raty
Monahan
P1
62.4%
53.7%
P2
56.7%
52.4%
P3
53.3%
51.6%
OT
60.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
65.9%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Raty
68.0%▲
63.5%
57.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2025 | OT | 03:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 17:08 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 3 | 06:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 08:51 | Neutral | Aatu Raty |
| Mar 28, 2025 | 1 | 04:10 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |