Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Kempe wins 39.8% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kempe 46.2% vs Monahan 51.4% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kempe 51.2%
Defensive zone
Kempe 73.5%
Neutral zone
Kempe 53.3%
Result
Adrian Kempe favored at 64.6%
64.6%
35.4%
Kempe
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Kempe
Monahan
Last 5: Kempe 2-3 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kempe
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Kempe
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kempe
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (131)
50.2% (1,117)
-5.9%
Power Play
30.8% (13)
55.5% (283)
-24.7%
Penalty Kill
55.6% (9)
56.8% (44)
-1.2%
On power play, Monahan has a +24.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kempe is 39.8% vs left-shot opponents (88).
Kempe shoots left. Monahan is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Home / Away
Kempe
Monahan
Home
49.6% (113)
50.1% (731)
Away
27.5% (40)
52.9% (713)
By Period
Kempe
Monahan
P1
43.9%
51.3%
P2
44.0%
50.3%
P3
43.5%
53.1%
Final 5 min
37.1%
53.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kempe
26.0%▼
35.5%
43.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 12:56 | Defensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 2 | 06:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 15:52 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 29, 2017 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | Adrian Kempe |
| Mar 19, 2017 | 1 | 07:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |