Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +9.8% FO% edge overall. Newhook wins 44.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Newhook 43.9% vs Monahan 52.4% (-9.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 52.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 83.3%
Neutral zone
Monahan 79.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 69.5%
30.5%
69.5%
Newhook
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Newhook
Monahan
Last 5: Newhook 3-2 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
2
0
Newhook
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Newhook
1
0
Newhook
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Newhook
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Newhook
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
42.7% (499)
52.4% (853)
-9.7%
Power Play
43.1% (58)
58.6% (174)
-15.5%
Penalty Kill
100.0% (1)
46.5% (144)
+53.5%
On penalty kill, Newhook has a +53.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Newhook is 44.1% vs left-shot opponents (340).
Newhook shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Newhook
Monahan
Home
39.6% (278)
53.4% (624)
Away
46.1% (280)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Newhook
Monahan
P1
37.3%
53.7%
P2
42.9%
52.4%
P3
47.3%
51.6%
OT
100.0%
57.1%
Final 5 min
47.1%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Newhook
40.0%▬
40.0%
42.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2024 | 3 | 01:32 | Defensive | Alex Newhook |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 12:33 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2024 | 2 | 04:58 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 27, 2024 | 3 | 12:55 | Offensive | Alex Newhook |
| Nov 16, 2024 | 3 | 06:04 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |