Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Soderberg on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Soderberg 49.4% vs Monahan 51.0% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 76.1%
Defensive zone
Soderberg 83.4%
Neutral zone
Soderberg 54.1%
Result
Carl Soderberg favored at 53.8%
53.8%
46.2%
Soderberg
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
4
(7 meetings)
3
4
Soderberg
Monahan
Last 7: Soderberg 3-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Soderberg
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Soderberg
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Soderberg
2
1
Soderberg
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Soderberg
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (755)
50.8% (723)
-0.3%
Power Play
55.0% (80)
53.3% (152)
+1.7%
Penalty Kill
43.8% (235)
46.2% (13)
-2.4%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Soderberg is 47.7% vs left-shot opponents (696).
Soderberg shoots left. Monahan is 52.4% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Soderberg
Monahan
Home
50.1% (555)
52.5% (421)
Away
48.5% (515)
49.9% (467)
By Period
Soderberg
Monahan
P1
49.9%
51.4%
P2
45.5%
52.3%
P3
52.2%
50.2%
OT
55.6%
35.7%
Final 5 min
50.9%
50.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Soderberg
56.0%▲
51.0%
49.3%
Monahan
58.0%▲
53.0%
51.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 9, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 3 | 14:08 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 05:12 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Nov 1, 2018 | 2 | 00:46 | Neutral | Carl Soderberg |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 17:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 13, 2018 | 2 | 01:22 | Defensive | Carl Soderberg |