Scouting Report
Casey Cizikas holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Cizikas wins 55.1% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Cizikas 54.4% vs Monahan 52.4% (+2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 70.8%
Defensive zone
Monahan 59.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 66.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 63.9%
36.1%
63.9%
Cizikas
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Cizikas
Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Cizikas
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Cizikas
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Cizikas
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
56.4% (576)
52.4% (853)
+4.0%
Power Play
50.0% (2)
58.6% (174)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (33)
46.5% (144)
-13.2%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +13.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Cizikas is 55.1% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Cizikas shoots left. Monahan is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (782).
Home / Away
Cizikas
Monahan
Home
55.4% (303)
53.4% (624)
Away
54.9% (308)
51.7% (547)
By Period
Cizikas
Monahan
P1
53.0%
53.7%
P2
56.0%
52.4%
P3
56.2%
51.6%
Final 5 min
51.8%
49.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Cizikas
60.0%▼
61.5%
55.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 14:58 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 3 | 12:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 12:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 24, 2025 | 1 | 09:04 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |