Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Wagner wins 44.7% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wagner 47.3% vs Monahan 52.4% (-6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 79.5%
Defensive zone
Wagner 93.0%
Neutral zone
Wagner 65.2%
Result
Chris Wagner favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Wagner
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Wagner
Monahan
Last 6: Wagner 2-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Wagner
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wagner
2
0
Wagner
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Wagner
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wagner
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
50.0% (190)
52.1% (858)
-2.1%
Power Play
20.0% (5)
55.9% (177)
-35.9%
Penalty Kill
35.2% (54)
33.3% (9)
+1.9%
On power play, Monahan has a +35.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Wagner is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (206).
Wagner shoots right. Monahan is 51.5% vs right-shot opponents (361).
Home / Away
Wagner
Monahan
Home
50.0% (134)
52.6% (504)
Away
41.7% (115)
52.6% (540)
By Period
Wagner
Monahan
P1
48.8%
56.7%
P2
42.0%
52.1%
P3
48.0%
48.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wagner
40.0%▼
49.5%
46.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
52.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 25, 2020 | 3 | 15:20 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 2 | 01:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 09:33 | Defensive | Chris Wagner |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 09:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 25, 2020 | 1 | 09:18 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 21, 2020 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |