Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Couture 47.6% vs Monahan 53.9% (-7.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Couture 69.0%
Defensive zone
Couture 88.0%
Neutral zone
Couture 74.1%
Result
Logan Couture favored at 73.8%
73.8%
26.2%
Couture
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Couture
Monahan
Last 5: Couture 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
3
Couture
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Couture
1
0
Couture
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Couture
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Couture
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
49.2% (1,083)
54.5% (231)
-5.3%
Power Play
56.7% (60)
58.2% (67)
-1.5%
Penalty Kill
35.4% (206)
52.2% (23)
-16.8%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +16.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Couture is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (857).
Couture shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Couture
Monahan
Home
49.6% (713)
53.5% (144)
Away
45.0% (636)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Couture
Monahan
P1
47.2%
52.5%
P2
45.0%
50.9%
P3
50.0%
60.8%
OT
50.0%
100.0%
Final 5 min
42.8%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Couture
42.0%▼
53.0%
47.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 14:13 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 18:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 11:25 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 07:29 | Defensive | Logan Couture |