Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Kunin on neutral-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). Kunin wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 46.1% vs Monahan 51.3% (-5.3%)
H2H factor
Kunin leads 12-11 in 23 meetings
Offensive zone
Monahan 81.3%
Defensive zone
Kunin 64.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 63.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.8%
48.2%
51.8%
Kunin
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
11
(23 meetings)
12
11
Kunin
Monahan
Last 10: Kunin 5-5 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Kunin
Monahan
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
6
6
Kunin
Monahan
12 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kunin
4
3
Kunin
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.1% (1,622)
51.1% (11,356)
-4.0%
Power Play
46.4% (138)
53.7% (2,580)
-7.3%
Penalty Kill
40.2% (333)
46.0% (766)
-5.8%
On power play, Monahan has a +7.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Kunin is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (1,511).
Kunin shoots right. Monahan is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (5,401).
Home / Away
Kunin
Monahan
Home
45.5% (1,048)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
46.4% (1,045)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Kunin
Monahan
P1
47.9%
50.9%
P2
45.7%
51.7%
P3
43.9%
51.0%
OT
50.0%
53.5%
Final 5 min
42.8%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
46.0%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2026 | 3 | 13:47 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 05:08 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Mar 12, 2026 | 1 | 02:25 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Dec 6, 2025 | 2 | 09:43 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 3 | 01:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 10:06 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 05:19 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 08:58 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 9, 2020 | 2 | 00:38 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 19:06 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 16:39 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 16:29 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 04:01 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 03:56 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 00:38 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 3 | 00:33 | Offensive | Luke Kunin |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 14:47 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 5, 2020 | 1 | 00:57 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 23, 2019 | 1 | 16:18 | Neutral | Luke Kunin |