Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 45.3% vs Monahan 54.5% (-10.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Rossi 69.3%
Defensive zone
Rossi 72.7%
Neutral zone
Rossi 69.0%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 69.9%
69.9%
30.1%
Rossi
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Rossi
Monahan
Last 5: Rossi 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Rossi
Monahan
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Rossi
Monahan
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Rossi
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
44.5% (701)
57.1% (871)
-12.6%
Power Play
56.1% (41)
53.1% (262)
+3.0%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (7)
44.6% (139)
-44.6%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +44.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Rossi is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (468).
Rossi shoots left. Monahan is 55.9% vs left-shot opponents (753).
Home / Away
Rossi
Monahan
Home
46.8% (385)
55.3% (644)
Away
42.6% (364)
54.5% (628)
By Period
Rossi
Monahan
P1
42.8%
53.9%
P2
43.9%
55.3%
P3
47.4%
54.4%
OT
50.0%
76.5%
Final 5 min
37.3%
55.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
44.7%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 14:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |