Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 9 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 46.9% vs Monahan 51.3% (-4.5%)
H2H factor
Monahan leads 15-6 in 21 meetings
Offensive zone
Rossi 83.6%
Defensive zone
Rossi 77.3%
Neutral zone
Rossi 77.1%
Result
Marco Rossi favored at 79.9%
79.9%
20.1%
Rossi
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
6
-
15
(21 meetings)
6
15
Rossi
Monahan
Last 10: Rossi 2-8 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
3
6
Rossi
Monahan
9 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
4
Rossi
Monahan
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
5
Rossi
Monahan
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (2,140)
51.1% (11,356)
-4.1%
Power Play
47.3% (188)
53.7% (2,580)
-6.4%
Penalty Kill
34.1% (44)
46.0% (766)
-11.9%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +11.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Rossi is 48.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,529).
Rossi shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Home / Away
Rossi
Monahan
Home
47.8% (1,207)
52.4% (7,358)
Away
45.7% (1,165)
50.2% (7,344)
By Period
Rossi
Monahan
P1
47.3%
50.9%
P2
44.8%
51.7%
P3
48.3%
51.0%
OT
45.8%
53.5%
Final 5 min
44.2%
50.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
46.8%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 02:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 01:35 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 03:44 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:07 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 12:26 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 03:10 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 11, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 11:00 | Neutral | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 3 | 01:05 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 19, 2024 | 1 | 01:09 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 15:09 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 10, 2024 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Marco Rossi |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 3 | 05:13 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 6, 2024 | 1 | 08:04 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |
| Dec 21, 2023 | 1 | 14:02 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 07:00 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 17, 2023 | 3 | 06:55 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |