Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +10.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Wood wins 38.3% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Wood 46.2% vs Monahan 52.8% (-10.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wood 79.3%
Defensive zone
Wood 73.9%
Neutral zone
Wood 77.1%
Result
Matthew Wood favored at 76.2%
76.2%
23.8%
Wood
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
7
(9 meetings)
2
7
Wood
Monahan
Last 9: Wood 2-7 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Wood
Monahan
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
3
Wood
Monahan
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
2
Wood
Monahan
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Wood
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
43.2% (111)
53.2% (823)
-10.0%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
55.3% (159)
-13.6%
On power play, Monahan has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Wood is 38.3% vs left-shot opponents (94).
Wood shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Wood
Monahan
Home
43.8% (48)
54.6% (529)
Away
42.7% (75)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Wood
Monahan
P1
43.8%
49.0%
P2
54.3%
55.4%
P3
28.9%
53.6%
OT
100.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
61.1%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Wood
38.0%▼
42.9%
43.1%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 17:03 | Defensive | Matthew Wood |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 14:12 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 3 | 12:25 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 07:21 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 2 | 02:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 14:23 | Neutral | Matthew Wood |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:46 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:38 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 3, 2026 | 1 | 10:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |