Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.9% FO% edge overall. Bonino wins 45.2% vs left-shot opponents — Monahan shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Bonino 48.5% vs Monahan 53.9% (-6.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Bonino 68.6%
Defensive zone
Bonino 85.7%
Neutral zone
Bonino 72.7%
Result
Nick Bonino favored at 77.1%
77.1%
22.9%
Bonino
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Bonino
Monahan
Last 5: Bonino 1-4 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Bonino
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
2
Bonino
Monahan
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Bonino
Monahan
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Bonino
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
48.1% (324)
54.5% (231)
-6.4%
Power Play
57.9% (38)
58.2% (67)
-0.3%
Penalty Kill
44.3% (88)
52.2% (23)
-7.9%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Bonino is 45.2% vs left-shot opponents (272).
Bonino shoots left. Monahan is 56.9% vs left-shot opponents (216).
Home / Away
Bonino
Monahan
Home
52.0% (244)
53.5% (144)
Away
43.7% (206)
56.5% (177)
By Period
Bonino
Monahan
P1
48.0%
52.5%
P2
42.9%
50.9%
P3
53.9%
60.8%
OT
66.7%
100.0%
Final 5 min
52.4%
52.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Bonino
46.0%▼
47.5%
48.2%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:56 | Neutral | Nick Bonino |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 3 | 03:44 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 2 | 10:31 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 18:46 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 29, 2022 | 1 | 08:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |