Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Acciari on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Acciari 51.2% vs Monahan 52.8% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (9 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 95.6%
Defensive zone
Acciari 70.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 72.7%
Result
Noel Acciari favored at 58.3%
58.3%
41.7%
Acciari
Monahan
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
1
(9 meetings)
8
1
Acciari
Monahan
Last 9: Acciari 8-1 Monahan
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
0
1
Acciari
Monahan
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Acciari
7
0
Acciari
Monahan
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Acciari
1
0
Acciari
Monahan
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Acciari
Monahan
Edge
Even Strength
53.0% (285)
53.2% (823)
-0.2%
Power Play
31.3% (16)
55.3% (159)
-24.0%
Penalty Kill
50.8% (183)
48.4% (95)
+2.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +24.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Monahan shoots left. Acciari is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (377).
Acciari shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Acciari
Monahan
Home
53.2% (267)
54.6% (529)
Away
49.3% (217)
51.6% (548)
By Period
Acciari
Monahan
P1
53.1%
49.0%
P2
51.1%
55.4%
P3
50.6%
53.6%
OT
40.0%
61.9%
Final 5 min
52.8%
54.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Acciari
38.0%▼
46.0%
51.4%
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 16:00 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 13:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Jan 17, 2026 | 2 | 10:42 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 2 | 17:39 | Neutral | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:39 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:13 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 19:01 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 25, 2025 | 1 | 11:05 | Defensive | Noel Acciari |