Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (53.1% vs 53.4%). Monahan wins 53.0% vs left-shot opponents — Stützle shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.8% vs Stützle 52.9% (-0.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Stützle 68.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 69.2%
Neutral zone
Monahan 53.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.2%
51.2%
48.8%
Monahan
Stützle
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
0
(3 meetings)
3
0
Monahan
Stützle
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Stützle
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Stützle
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Stützle
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Stützle
Edge
Even Strength
53.2% (823)
53.0% (485)
+0.2%
Power Play
55.3% (159)
55.2% (58)
+0.1%
Penalty Kill
48.4% (95)
56.7% (30)
-8.3%
On penalty kill, Stützle has a +8.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Stützle shoots left. Monahan is 53.0% vs left-shot opponents (676).
Monahan shoots left. Stützle is 54.1% vs left-shot opponents (353).
Home / Away
Monahan
Stützle
Home
54.6% (529)
52.5% (282)
Away
51.6% (548)
54.3% (291)
By Period
Monahan
Stützle
P1
49.0%
52.1%
P2
55.4%
56.2%
P3
53.6%
52.0%
OT
61.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
54.0%
50.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Stützle
54.0%▲
50.5%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | 2 | 11:24 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 14:01 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 11, 2025 | 1 | 08:11 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |