Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Boyd on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 53.9% vs Boyd 43.9% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Boyd 69.0%
Defensive zone
Boyd 72.5%
Neutral zone
Boyd 73.8%
Result
Travis Boyd favored at 72.2%
27.8%
72.2%
Monahan
Boyd
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Monahan
Boyd
Last 7: Monahan 2-5 Boyd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Boyd
0
2
Monahan
Boyd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Boyd
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Boyd
1
3
Monahan
Boyd
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Boyd
Edge
Even Strength
54.5% (231)
43.4% (893)
+11.1%
Power Play
58.2% (67)
51.5% (136)
+6.7%
Penalty Kill
52.2% (23)
34.6% (127)
+17.6%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Boyd shoots right. Monahan is 51.4% vs right-shot opponents (105).
Monahan shoots left. Boyd is 44.3% vs left-shot opponents (805).
Home / Away
Monahan
Boyd
Home
53.5% (144)
46.0% (570)
Away
56.5% (177)
41.0% (586)
By Period
Monahan
Boyd
P1
52.5%
38.9%
P2
50.9%
50.4%
P3
60.8%
41.1%
OT
100.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
52.1%
46.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
55.1%
Boyd
50.0%▲
48.0%
43.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 16:25 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 12:53 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 3 | 09:29 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 17:57 | Offensive | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:31 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Oct 20, 2022 | 1 | 11:54 | Neutral | Travis Boyd |