Scouting Report
Trevor Lewis holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Monahan wins 45.0% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 46.3% vs Lewis 48.9% (-2.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 55.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 51.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 50.3%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 51.6%
51.6%
48.4%
Monahan
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Monahan
Lewis
Last 6: Monahan 3-3 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Monahan
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
1
Monahan
Lewis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Monahan
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (908)
48.5% (231)
-2.6%
Power Play
49.1% (108)
25.0% (8)
+24.1%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (20)
56.5% (23)
-26.5%
On penalty kill, Lewis has a +26.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Monahan is 45.0% vs right-shot opponents (398).
Monahan shoots left. Lewis is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
Monahan
Lewis
Home
48.7% (528)
47.5% (118)
Away
43.1% (508)
49.3% (144)
By Period
Monahan
Lewis
P1
50.1%
44.4%
P2
44.7%
46.2%
P3
42.7%
55.3%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
49.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.9%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 9, 2014 | 3 | 19:02 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 9, 2014 | 2 | 14:29 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 3 | 00:22 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 17:18 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 10, 2014 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 27, 2014 | 3 | 06:53 | Neutral | Trevor Lewis |