Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +12.3% FO% edge overall. Monahan wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 54.5% vs Lewis 44.4% (+12.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 84.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 71.4%
Neutral zone
Monahan 79.5%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 78.5%
78.5%
21.5%
Monahan
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Monahan
Lewis
Last 6: Monahan 4-2 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
0
Monahan
Lewis
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
2
Monahan
Lewis
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
0
Monahan
Lewis
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (871)
45.7% (210)
+11.4%
Power Play
53.1% (262)
71.4% (7)
-18.3%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (139)
33.7% (95)
+10.9%
On power play, Lewis has a +18.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Monahan shoots left. Lewis is 38.4% vs left-shot opponents (232).
Home / Away
Monahan
Lewis
Home
55.3% (644)
48.8% (166)
Away
54.5% (628)
35.6% (146)
By Period
Monahan
Lewis
P1
53.9%
37.9%
P2
55.3%
46.7%
P3
54.4%
42.7%
Final 5 min
55.9%
40.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 11:52 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 3 | 11:34 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 19:36 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Apr 1, 2024 | 2 | 13:56 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 3 | 13:26 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 25, 2023 | 2 | 17:46 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |