Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +6.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Monahan wins 45.7% vs right-shot opponents — Lewis shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 49.3% vs Lewis 45.5% (+6.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 60.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 66.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 63.2%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 64.3%
64.3%
35.7%
Monahan
Lewis
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Monahan
Lewis
Last 5: Monahan 3-2 Lewis
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Lewis
0
1
Monahan
Lewis
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
1
Monahan
Lewis
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Lewis
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Lewis
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (1,435)
43.0% (158)
+6.0%
Power Play
50.2% (281)
37.5% (8)
+12.7%
Penalty Kill
50.9% (114)
45.5% (11)
+5.4%
On power play, Monahan has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Lewis shoots right. Monahan is 45.7% vs right-shot opponents (746).
Monahan shoots left. Lewis is 43.6% vs left-shot opponents (133).
Home / Away
Monahan
Lewis
Home
51.2% (936)
50.0% (92)
Away
47.3% (894)
35.3% (85)
By Period
Monahan
Lewis
P1
48.8%
44.6%
P2
48.9%
41.1%
P3
50.2%
43.1%
Final 5 min
43.5%
32.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
49.3%
Lewis
34.0%▼
46.5%
42.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2014 | 3 | 17:34 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 19:15 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Dec 29, 2014 | 2 | 05:51 | Offensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 3 | 09:13 | Defensive | Trevor Lewis |
| Dec 22, 2014 | 2 | 05:33 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |