Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +13.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Monahan on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Monahan wins 53.4% vs right-shot opponents — Dellandrea shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 54.5% vs Dellandrea 44.1% (+13.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 72.8%
Defensive zone
Dellandrea 78.8%
Neutral zone
Dellandrea 58.1%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 52.1%
52.1%
47.9%
Monahan
Dellandrea
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
3
(5 meetings)
2
3
Monahan
Dellandrea
Last 5: Monahan 2-3 Dellandrea
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
1
Monahan
Dellandrea
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dellandrea
0
2
Monahan
Dellandrea
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Dellandrea
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (871)
42.7% (143)
+14.4%
Penalty Kill
44.6% (139)
39.5% (81)
+5.1%
On even strength, Monahan has a +14.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dellandrea shoots right. Monahan is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (519).
Monahan shoots left. Dellandrea is 40.3% vs left-shot opponents (181).
Home / Away
Monahan
Dellandrea
Home
55.3% (644)
41.9% (105)
Away
54.5% (628)
41.2% (119)
By Period
Monahan
Dellandrea
P1
53.9%
44.4%
P2
55.3%
39.5%
P3
54.4%
41.4%
OT
76.5%
0.0%
Final 5 min
55.9%
38.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
54.9%
Dellandrea
58.0%▲
53.5%
41.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 29, 2024 | 2 | 11:48 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 29, 2024 | 1 | 13:50 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 05:59 | Defensive | Ty Dellandrea |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 00:42 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 03:18 | Offensive | Ty Dellandrea |