Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +7.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 52.8% vs Bozak 46.2% (+7.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 89.0%
Defensive zone
Monahan 59.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 73.0%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 70.3%
70.3%
29.7%
Monahan
Bozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
1
(4 meetings)
3
1
Monahan
Bozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Bozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Monahan
Bozak
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Bozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Bozak
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (641)
46.7% (338)
+4.8%
Power Play
62.8% (129)
50.0% (6)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (9)
32.6% (43)
+0.7%
On power play, Monahan has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Bozak shoots right. Monahan is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (288).
Monahan shoots left. Bozak is 41.7% vs left-shot opponents (247).
Home / Away
Monahan
Bozak
Home
53.9% (362)
47.9% (194)
Away
52.5% (417)
42.5% (193)
By Period
Monahan
Bozak
P1
48.0%
40.2%
P2
57.0%
51.4%
P3
54.1%
43.1%
OT
100.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
51.0%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
53.1%
Bozak
46.0%▼
48.5%
45.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2022 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 2 | 08:57 | Defensive | Tyler Bozak |
| Jan 27, 2022 | 1 | 08:58 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Jan 24, 2022 | 2 | 08:23 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |