Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Graovac on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.4% vs Graovac 48.1% (+4.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 76.7%
Defensive zone
Monahan 63.9%
Neutral zone
Monahan 70.4%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
Monahan
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Monahan
Graovac
Last 6: Monahan 4-2 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
0
Monahan
Graovac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
1
2
Monahan
Graovac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Graovac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (1,117)
47.5% (341)
+2.7%
Power Play
55.5% (283)
50.0% (2)
+5.5%
On power play, Monahan has a +5.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Monahan is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (928).
Monahan shoots left. Graovac is 47.3% vs left-shot opponents (222).
Home / Away
Monahan
Graovac
Home
50.1% (731)
48.6% (181)
Away
52.9% (713)
46.3% (162)
By Period
Monahan
Graovac
P1
51.3%
42.4%
P2
50.3%
46.8%
P3
53.1%
54.5%
Final 5 min
53.0%
48.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.5%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
47.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2017 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |