Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Graovac on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.3% vs Graovac 47.1% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 78.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 70.7%
Neutral zone
Monahan 72.8%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 73.6%
73.6%
26.4%
Monahan
Graovac
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
2
(6 meetings)
4
2
Monahan
Graovac
Last 6: Monahan 4-2 Graovac
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
0
Monahan
Graovac
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Graovac
1
2
Monahan
Graovac
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Monahan
1
0
Monahan
Graovac
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Graovac
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (11,356)
46.5% (497)
+4.6%
Power Play
53.7% (2,580)
50.0% (4)
+3.7%
On even strength, Monahan has a +4.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Graovac shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Monahan shoots left. Graovac is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (343).
Home / Away
Monahan
Graovac
Home
52.4% (7,358)
47.6% (233)
Away
50.2% (7,344)
45.5% (268)
By Period
Monahan
Graovac
P1
50.9%
41.7%
P2
51.7%
47.4%
P3
51.0%
51.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
42.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Graovac
48.0%▲
43.5%
46.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2017 | 3 | 02:45 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 2 | 02:59 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 18:11 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Feb 1, 2017 | 1 | 17:59 | Neutral | Sean Monahan |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 2 | 17:40 | Defensive | Tyler Graovac |
| Nov 15, 2016 | 1 | 11:21 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |