Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +2.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Leino on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Monahan wins 46.6% vs left-shot opponents — Leino shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 46.3% vs Leino 45.2% (+2.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 64.3%
Defensive zone
Monahan 55.1%
Neutral zone
Monahan 56.9%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Monahan
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Monahan
Leino
Last 5: Monahan 3-2 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
0
Monahan
Leino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Leino
1
2
Monahan
Leino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
45.9% (908)
43.7% (254)
+2.2%
Power Play
49.1% (108)
43.8% (32)
+5.3%
Penalty Kill
30.0% (20)
0.0% (1)
+30.0%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +30.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Monahan is 46.6% vs left-shot opponents (638).
Monahan shoots left. Leino is 48.1% vs left-shot opponents (189).
Home / Away
Monahan
Leino
Home
48.7% (528)
45.0% (160)
Away
43.1% (508)
41.7% (127)
By Period
Monahan
Leino
P1
50.1%
43.6%
P2
44.7%
42.3%
P3
42.7%
43.7%
OT
55.6%
100.0%
Final 5 min
45.0%
41.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
45.9%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
43.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |