Scouting Report
Sean Monahan holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Leino on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Monahan 51.3% vs Leino 46.1% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Monahan 64.5%
Defensive zone
Monahan 65.0%
Neutral zone
Monahan 75.7%
Result
Sean Monahan favored at 64.8%
64.8%
35.2%
Monahan
Leino
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Monahan
Leino
Last 5: Monahan 3-2 Leino
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Monahan
2
0
Monahan
Leino
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Leino
1
2
Monahan
Leino
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Monahan
Leino
Edge
Even Strength
51.1% (11,356)
46.1% (596)
+5.0%
Power Play
53.7% (2,580)
42.1% (57)
+11.6%
Penalty Kill
46.0% (766)
33.3% (6)
+12.7%
On penalty kill, Monahan has a +12.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Leino shoots left. Monahan is 51.7% vs left-shot opponents (9,301).
Monahan shoots left. Leino is 48.8% vs left-shot opponents (408).
Home / Away
Monahan
Leino
Home
52.4% (7,358)
46.1% (334)
Away
50.2% (7,344)
45.0% (329)
By Period
Monahan
Leino
P1
50.9%
45.9%
P2
51.7%
44.8%
P3
51.0%
45.6%
OT
53.5%
60.0%
Final 5 min
50.3%
45.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Monahan
54.0%▲
52.5%
51.3%
Leino
38.0%▼
41.0%
45.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 05:13 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 2 | 05:07 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 15:15 | Offensive | Sean Monahan |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 09:08 | Defensive | Ville Leino |
| Mar 18, 2014 | 1 | 01:28 | Defensive | Sean Monahan |