Scouting Report
Brett Howden holds a +2.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Howden on defensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Howden wins 47.0% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Howden 48.5% vs Aho 46.4% (+2.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 66.7%
Defensive zone
Howden 77.6%
Neutral zone
Howden 63.8%
Result
Brett Howden favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Howden
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Howden
Aho
Last 8: Howden 5-3 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
2
2
Howden
Aho
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Howden
3
1
Howden
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Howden
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
47.0% (417)
46.2% (744)
+0.8%
Power Play
52.4% (21)
44.6% (112)
+7.8%
Penalty Kill
53.0% (83)
45.5% (33)
+7.5%
On power play, Howden has a +7.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Howden is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (330).
Howden shoots left. Aho is 43.9% vs left-shot opponents (540).
Home / Away
Howden
Aho
Home
44.8% (268)
46.7% (445)
Away
51.8% (253)
45.3% (444)
By Period
Howden
Aho
P1
51.6%
48.1%
P2
43.7%
44.9%
P3
50.0%
45.8%
OT
50.0%
12.5%
Final 5 min
46.5%
52.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Howden
44.0%▼
46.5%
48.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
46.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2019 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 13:27 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 27, 2019 | 2 | 06:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 2 | 09:40 | Offensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:47 | Defensive | Brett Howden |
| Nov 7, 2019 | 1 | 03:44 | Defensive | Brett Howden |