Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +14.8% FO% edge overall. Mercer wins 40.2% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Mercer 43.3% vs Aho 54.9% (-14.8%)
Offensive zone
Aho 77.2%
Defensive zone
Mercer 53.5%
Neutral zone
Aho 56.5%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 60.1%
39.9%
60.1%
Mercer
Aho
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Mercer
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
41.0% (212)
54.5% (870)
-13.5%
Power Play
35.7% (14)
62.4% (266)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
36.4% (11)
37.1% (62)
-0.7%
On power play, Aho has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Mercer is 40.2% vs left-shot opponents (179).
Mercer shoots right. Aho is 53.4% vs right-shot opponents (393).
Home / Away
Mercer
Aho
Home
45.2% (126)
53.9% (603)
Away
35.1% (111)
56.8% (595)
By Period
Mercer
Aho
P1
34.5%
54.1%
P2
43.4%
55.0%
P3
45.8%
57.4%
OT
0.0%
33.3%
Final 5 min
47.9%
55.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Mercer
34.0%▼
37.5%
40.5%
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
55.3%