Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +13.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Roslovic on offensive-zone draws (71% H2H, 7 meetings). Roslovic wins 39.5% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Roslovic 40.7% vs Aho 52.4% (-13.6%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 17-17 in 34 meetings
Offensive zone
Roslovic 53.9%
Defensive zone
Aho 61.5%
Neutral zone
Roslovic 52.8%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 50.7%
49.3%
50.7%
Roslovic
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
17
(34 meetings)
17
17
Roslovic
Aho
Last 10: Roslovic 6-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Roslovic
5
2
Roslovic
Aho
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
3
6
Roslovic
Aho
9 total
Neutral Zone
Even
9
9
Roslovic
Aho
18 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Roslovic
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
38.6% (542)
52.4% (622)
-13.8%
Power Play
44.2% (43)
60.7% (28)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (8)
52.4% (42)
-2.4%
On power play, Aho has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Roslovic is 39.5% vs left-shot opponents (443).
Roslovic shoots right. Aho is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Roslovic
Aho
Home
39.6% (293)
54.9% (359)
Away
38.7% (300)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Roslovic
Aho
P1
40.0%
51.6%
P2
34.7%
53.3%
P3
42.2%
52.7%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
34.3%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Roslovic
50.0%▼
53.0%
39.1%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 17:48 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 16:55 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| May 1, 2021 | 3 | 10:01 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 3 | 08:37 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 13:08 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 25, 2021 | 2 | 09:41 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 05:49 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 14:48 | Offensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 11:44 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 1 | 11:39 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 09:27 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 04:26 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 00:39 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 2 | 01:44 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 13:45 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 1 | 07:04 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 3 | 07:51 | Defensive | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 2 | 00:51 | Neutral | Jack Roslovic |
| Mar 18, 2021 | 1 | 14:45 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |