Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +2.4% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.8% vs Aho 48.7% (-2.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Aho 80.3%
Defensive zone
McCann 50.3%
Neutral zone
Aho 57.2%
Result
Sebastian Aho favored at 62.4%
37.6%
62.4%
McCann
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
1
(6 meetings)
5
1
McCann
Aho
Last 6: McCann 5-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Aho
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (531)
47.4% (953)
-1.4%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
58.0% (174)
-11.6%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (36)
41.6% (77)
+8.4%
On power play, Aho has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. McCann is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (397).
McCann shoots left. Aho is 48.7% vs left-shot opponents (751).
Home / Away
McCann
Aho
Home
46.0% (263)
50.2% (609)
Away
46.4% (332)
46.9% (595)
By Period
McCann
Aho
P1
48.9%
48.7%
P2
45.0%
50.2%
P3
44.7%
47.0%
OT
50.0%
41.7%
Final 5 min
43.4%
47.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.2%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
48.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 31, 2019 | 2 | 09:00 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 2 | 19:35 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 5, 2019 | 1 | 19:15 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 3 | 01:34 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 14:04 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 23, 2018 | 2 | 12:13 | Neutral | Jared McCann |