Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Tavares wins 62.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Tavares 59.8% vs Aho 52.2% (+8.2%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 9-1 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 84.8%
Defensive zone
Tavares 82.9%
Neutral zone
Tavares 90.0%
Result
John Tavares favored at 85.6%
85.6%
14.4%
Tavares
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
1
(10 meetings)
9
1
Tavares
Aho
Last 10: Tavares 9-1 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
3
0
Tavares
Aho
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
4
0
Tavares
Aho
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
2
1
Tavares
Aho
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Tavares
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
60.9% (1,043)
51.6% (819)
+9.3%
Power Play
60.4% (278)
58.4% (173)
+2.0%
Penalty Kill
47.6% (21)
46.3% (67)
+1.3%
On even strength, Tavares has a +9.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Tavares shoots left. Aho is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (674).
Home / Away
Tavares
Aho
Home
63.5% (684)
53.9% (568)
Away
57.6% (658)
50.7% (491)
By Period
Tavares
Aho
P1
60.3%
55.4%
P2
60.4%
51.2%
P3
60.1%
50.9%
OT
92.3%
28.6%
Final 5 min
57.4%
45.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 17, 2022 | 3 | 16:20 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 2 | 04:39 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 13:51 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Mar 17, 2022 | 1 | 00:50 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 2 | 08:41 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 1 | 12:04 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 1 | 10:15 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 1 | 07:12 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 7, 2022 | 1 | 04:13 | Defensive | John Tavares |