Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +19.4% FO% edge overall. Kunin wins 25.7% vs left-shot opponents — Aho shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kunin 44.8% vs Aho 52.4% (-19.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kunin 68.6%
Defensive zone
Kunin 55.4%
Neutral zone
Kunin 65.4%
Result
Luke Kunin favored at 62.7%
62.7%
37.3%
Kunin
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Kunin
Aho
Last 5: Kunin 1-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
2
Kunin
Aho
2 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Kunin
Aho
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Aho
0
1
Kunin
Aho
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kunin
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (40)
52.4% (622)
-14.9%
Power Play
0.0% (3)
60.7% (28)
-60.7%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (2)
52.4% (42)
-52.4%
On power play, Aho has a +60.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Kunin is 25.7% vs left-shot opponents (35).
Kunin shoots right. Aho is 49.1% vs right-shot opponents (283).
Home / Away
Kunin
Aho
Home
33.3% (33)
54.9% (359)
Away
33.3% (12)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Kunin
Aho
P1
35.3%
51.6%
P2
31.3%
53.3%
P3
33.3%
52.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kunin
46.0%▼
53.0%
33.3%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 8, 2021 | 3 | 13:21 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| May 8, 2021 | 2 | 01:48 | Defensive | Luke Kunin |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Apr 17, 2021 | 1 | 00:36 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Jan 18, 2021 | 3 | 05:30 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |