Scouting Report
Sebastian Aho holds a +4.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Domi 48.8% vs Aho 52.4% (-4.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Domi 57.3%
Defensive zone
Domi 55.0%
Neutral zone
Domi 56.6%
Result
Max Domi favored at 55.4%
55.4%
44.6%
Domi
Aho
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
Domi
Aho
Last 5: Domi 1-4 Aho
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Domi
1
0
Domi
Aho
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Aho
0
4
Domi
Aho
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Domi
Aho
Edge
Even Strength
48.2% (363)
52.4% (622)
-4.2%
Power Play
55.6% (27)
60.7% (28)
-5.1%
Penalty Kill
33.3% (6)
52.4% (42)
-19.1%
On penalty kill, Aho has a +19.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Aho shoots left. Domi is 49.8% vs left-shot opponents (273).
Domi shoots left. Aho is 55.3% vs left-shot opponents (409).
Home / Away
Domi
Aho
Home
51.5% (227)
54.9% (359)
Away
44.4% (169)
50.5% (333)
By Period
Domi
Aho
P1
49.2%
51.6%
P2
45.7%
53.3%
P3
51.7%
52.7%
OT
42.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
51.0%
47.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Domi
54.0%▲
52.5%
48.5%
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
52.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 10:23 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 3 | 04:29 | Offensive | Max Domi |
| Mar 22, 2021 | 2 | 11:43 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 14:21 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Mar 20, 2021 | 3 | 12:01 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |