Sebastian Aho vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 14 meetings). Aho wins 56.1% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.4% vs Trocheck 55.9% (-6.3%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 16-15 in 31 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 50.5%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 71.1%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 52.3%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 55.9%
44.1%
55.9%
Aho
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
16
-
15
(31 meetings)
16
15
Aho
Trocheck
Last 10: Aho 7-3 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
9
5
Aho
Trocheck
14 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
5
Aho
Trocheck
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
4
5
Aho
Trocheck
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
50.5% (647)
57.3% (482)
-6.8%
Power Play
54.2% (131)
67.8% (118)
-13.6%
Penalty Kill
38.1% (42)
42.6% (108)
-4.5%
On power play, Trocheck has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Aho is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (289).
Aho shoots left. Trocheck is 58.2% vs left-shot opponents (471).
Home / Away
Aho
Trocheck
Home
53.9% (445)
52.0% (273)
Away
46.4% (375)
59.8% (435)
By Period
Aho
Trocheck
P1
48.7%
55.1%
P2
51.4%
61.1%
P3
50.8%
54.1%
OT
58.8%
54.5%
Final 5 min
49.5%
55.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
54.0%▼
56.5%
50.5%
Trocheck
60.0%▼
62.0%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 04:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 04:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 03:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:21 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |