Sebastian Aho vs Vincent Trocheck
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Vincent Trocheck holds a +6.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Aho on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 15 meetings). Aho wins 55.5% vs right-shot opponents — Trocheck shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Aho 50.0% vs Trocheck 56.0% (-6.6%)
H2H factor
Aho leads 17-16 in 33 meetings
Offensive zone
Aho 52.8%
Defensive zone
Trocheck 70.3%
Neutral zone
Trocheck 51.5%
Result
Vincent Trocheck favored at 54.1%
45.9%
54.1%
Aho
Trocheck
Head-to-Head Record
17
-
16
(33 meetings)
17
16
Aho
Trocheck
Last 10: Aho 6-4 Trocheck
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Aho
10
5
Aho
Trocheck
15 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Trocheck
3
5
Aho
Trocheck
8 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Trocheck
4
6
Aho
Trocheck
10 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Aho
Trocheck
Edge
Even Strength
49.9% (851)
57.8% (626)
-7.9%
Power Play
53.5% (144)
63.6% (151)
-10.1%
Penalty Kill
43.3% (60)
44.0% (141)
-0.7%
On power play, Trocheck has a +10.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Trocheck shoots right. Aho is 55.5% vs right-shot opponents (364).
Aho shoots left. Trocheck is 57.3% vs left-shot opponents (627).
Home / Away
Aho
Trocheck
Home
53.2% (554)
54.4% (390)
Away
46.5% (501)
58.3% (528)
By Period
Aho
Trocheck
P1
49.1%
56.4%
P2
50.8%
58.7%
P3
49.7%
54.8%
OT
58.8%
57.1%
Final 5 min
49.4%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Aho
42.0%▼
48.0%
50.0%
Trocheck
60.0%▲
57.0%
56.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 18:42 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 16:38 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 04:10 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 04:02 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | OT | 03:01 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 15:44 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 11:33 | Defensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 09:11 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 06:59 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 03:04 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:08 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 17:35 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 07:03 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:13 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:11 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Vincent Trocheck |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 18:37 | Defensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 10:00 | Offensive | Sebastian Aho |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:26 | Offensive | Vincent Trocheck |