Scouting Report
Ryan Kesler holds a +16.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kesler on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Kesler wins 58.0% vs left-shot opponents — Kalinin shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Kesler 58.0% vs Kalinin 43.6% (+16.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kesler 76.1%
Defensive zone
Kesler 95.0%
Neutral zone
Kesler 92.7%
Result
Ryan Kesler favored at 94.1%
94.1%
5.9%
Kesler
Kalinin
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Kesler
Kalinin
Last 5: Kesler 5-0 Kalinin
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kesler
3
0
Kesler
Kalinin
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Kesler
2
0
Kesler
Kalinin
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Kesler
Kalinin
Edge
Even Strength
58.6% (1,138)
42.3% (298)
+16.3%
Power Play
64.5% (186)
29.4% (17)
+35.1%
Penalty Kill
55.0% (351)
42.9% (7)
+12.1%
On power play, Kesler has a +35.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kalinin shoots left. Kesler is 58.0% vs left-shot opponents (1,168).
Kesler shoots right. Kalinin is 34.0% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Kesler
Kalinin
Home
61.0% (859)
42.8% (173)
Away
55.9% (816)
40.3% (149)
By Period
Kesler
Kalinin
P1
59.1%
39.8%
P2
56.5%
44.1%
P3
60.5%
40.2%
Final 5 min
61.3%
37.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Kesler
50.0%▼
54.5%
58.5%
Kalinin
44.0%▲
40.5%
41.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 19:13 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Mar 14, 2016 | 2 | 12:23 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 2 | 10:52 | Defensive | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 19:44 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |
| Dec 19, 2015 | 1 | 07:39 | Neutral | Ryan Kesler |