Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Lowry on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Lowry wins 53.5% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Lowry 50.4% vs Pinto 51.9% (-1.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pinto 81.4%
Defensive zone
Lowry 56.3%
Neutral zone
Pinto 53.9%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 53.9%
46.1%
53.9%
Lowry
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
0
(5 meetings)
5
0
Lowry
Pinto
Last 5: Lowry 5-0 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Lowry
5
0
Lowry
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Lowry
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
52.7% (893)
52.5% (825)
+0.2%
Power Play
52.8% (72)
40.0% (10)
+12.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (215)
44.4% (27)
-4.4%
On power play, Lowry has a +12.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Lowry is 53.5% vs right-shot opponents (430).
Lowry shoots left. Pinto is 52.3% vs left-shot opponents (600).
Home / Away
Lowry
Pinto
Home
52.4% (597)
52.8% (453)
Away
48.4% (583)
51.3% (409)
By Period
Lowry
Pinto
P1
48.5%
49.0%
P2
52.2%
53.5%
P3
50.5%
53.7%
OT
50.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
49.4%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Lowry
46.0%▼
54.5%
50.4%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
52.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 13:09 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 06:58 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 1 | 15:41 | Neutral | Adam Lowry |