Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +2.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Minten on neutral-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Minten wins 44.9% vs right-shot opponents — Pinto shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Minten 48.5% vs Pinto 50.7% (-2.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Minten 50.9%
Defensive zone
Pinto 83.1%
Neutral zone
Pinto 54.8%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Minten
Pinto
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Minten
Pinto
Last 5: Minten 4-1 Pinto
Zone Breakdown
Neutral Zone
Edge: Minten
4
1
Minten
Pinto
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Minten
Pinto
Edge
Even Strength
49.6% (603)
50.2% (520)
-0.6%
Power Play
45.8% (48)
68.0% (25)
-22.2%
Penalty Kill
32.6% (43)
49.4% (89)
-16.8%
On power play, Pinto has a +22.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Pinto shoots right. Minten is 44.9% vs right-shot opponents (247).
Minten shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Home / Away
Minten
Pinto
Home
51.6% (322)
48.8% (301)
Away
45.4% (372)
52.6% (333)
By Period
Minten
Pinto
P1
44.9%
51.2%
P2
46.6%
48.9%
P3
52.1%
53.3%
OT
83.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
46.7%
50.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Minten
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.3%
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 17:38 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 2 | 07:26 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 07:58 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |
| Nov 6, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Fraser Minten |