Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +20.5% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 50.7% vs Zegras 35.4% (+20.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 60.7%
Defensive zone
Pinto 90.7%
Neutral zone
Pinto 71.9%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 72.9%
72.9%
27.1%
Pinto
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pinto
Zegras
Last 5: Pinto 3-2 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
1
Pinto
Zegras
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
2
0
Pinto
Zegras
2 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pinto
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.2% (520)
29.6% (230)
+20.6%
Power Play
68.0% (25)
32.1% (56)
+35.9%
Penalty Kill
49.4% (89)
100.0% (1)
-50.6%
On penalty kill, Zegras has a +50.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Pinto is 51.1% vs left-shot opponents (460).
Pinto shoots right. Zegras is 29.7% vs right-shot opponents (111).
Home / Away
Pinto
Zegras
Home
48.8% (301)
30.6% (147)
Away
52.6% (333)
30.0% (140)
By Period
Pinto
Zegras
P1
51.2%
33.0%
P2
48.9%
31.7%
P3
53.3%
25.6%
OT
44.4%
33.3%
Final 5 min
50.7%
29.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
30.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |