Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +11.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Pinto on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 50.3% vs Zegras 39.2% (+11.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Zegras 53.7%
Defensive zone
Pinto 95.0%
Neutral zone
Pinto 84.4%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Pinto
Zegras
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Pinto
Zegras
Last 8: Pinto 5-3 Zegras
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Zegras
0
2
Pinto
Zegras
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
4
0
Pinto
Zegras
4 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pinto
Zegras
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Zegras
Edge
Even Strength
50.6% (2,716)
38.6% (1,669)
+12.0%
Power Play
54.4% (90)
38.5% (148)
+15.9%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (234)
28.6% (7)
+16.3%
On penalty kill, Pinto has a +16.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Zegras shoots left. Pinto is 50.9% vs left-shot opponents (2,185).
Pinto shoots right. Zegras is 37.8% vs right-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
Pinto
Zegras
Home
50.9% (1,501)
39.9% (882)
Away
49.6% (1,539)
37.4% (942)
By Period
Pinto
Zegras
P1
48.3%
40.2%
P2
51.7%
38.0%
P3
50.9%
37.7%
OT
46.7%
31.6%
Final 5 min
49.7%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.3%
Zegras
16.0%▼
26.5%
38.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2026 | 3 | 07:27 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 5, 2026 | 2 | 09:15 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Nov 8, 2025 | 2 | 06:41 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 3 | 04:16 | Neutral | Trevor Zegras |
| Oct 23, 2025 | 1 | 17:14 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 1, 2024 | 2 | 07:45 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |
| Dec 12, 2022 | 3 | 04:45 | Offensive | Trevor Zegras |
| Nov 25, 2022 | 1 | 00:20 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |