Scouting Report
Shane Pinto holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Kozak on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 50.1% vs Kozak 47.8% (+3.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kozak 52.8%
Defensive zone
Pinto 69.3%
Neutral zone
Pinto 55.3%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 62.1%
62.1%
37.9%
Pinto
Kozak
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
2
(5 meetings)
3
2
Pinto
Kozak
Last 5: Pinto 3-2 Kozak
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
0
Pinto
Kozak
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Kozak
1
2
Pinto
Kozak
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pinto
1
0
Pinto
Kozak
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Kozak
Edge
Even Strength
50.4% (779)
46.0% (137)
+4.4%
Power Play
55.2% (29)
66.7% (3)
-11.5%
Penalty Kill
44.9% (78)
40.0% (5)
+4.9%
On power play, Kozak has a +11.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kozak shoots left. Pinto is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (672).
Pinto shoots right. Kozak is 40.3% vs right-shot opponents (62).
Home / Away
Pinto
Kozak
Home
52.4% (454)
51.2% (84)
Away
47.7% (432)
39.3% (61)
By Period
Pinto
Kozak
P1
48.1%
57.1%
P2
52.9%
34.7%
P3
49.3%
48.1%
Final 5 min
50.0%
46.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.1%
Kozak
50.0%▬
49.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 25, 2025 | 3 | 05:19 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Mar 25, 2025 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Shane Pinto |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 3 | 00:25 | Defensive | Tyson Kozak |
| Jan 9, 2025 | 2 | 16:31 | Defensive | Shane Pinto |