Scouting Report
William Karlsson holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pinto 50.5% vs Karlsson 55.6% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Karlsson 59.8%
Defensive zone
Pinto 64.2%
Neutral zone
Pinto 57.0%
Result
Shane Pinto favored at 51.4%
51.4%
48.6%
Pinto
Karlsson
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Pinto
Karlsson
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Karlsson
0
1
Pinto
Karlsson
1 total
Neutral Zone
Even
1
1
Pinto
Karlsson
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pinto
Karlsson
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (463)
56.3% (739)
-5.1%
Power Play
50.0% (14)
58.6% (181)
-8.6%
Penalty Kill
36.8% (19)
47.2% (53)
-10.4%
On penalty kill, Karlsson has a +10.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Karlsson shoots left. Pinto is 52.8% vs left-shot opponents (341).
Pinto shoots right. Karlsson is 54.0% vs right-shot opponents (346).
Home / Away
Pinto
Karlsson
Home
52.2% (205)
56.5% (462)
Away
49.5% (291)
56.0% (511)
By Period
Pinto
Karlsson
P1
48.7%
57.1%
P2
51.8%
55.2%
P3
51.2%
56.7%
OT
50.0%
50.0%
Final 5 min
49.1%
54.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pinto
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.6%
Karlsson
64.0%▲
57.5%
56.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024 | 3 | 18:31 | Offensive | William Karlsson |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 2 | 19:30 | Neutral | Shane Pinto |
| Feb 24, 2024 | 1 | 05:41 | Neutral | William Karlsson |