Scouting Report
Kirby Dach holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Dach on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Dach wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dach 45.1% vs Wright 41.4% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dach 51.6%
Defensive zone
Dach 74.3%
Neutral zone
Dach 64.7%
Result
Kirby Dach favored at 67.0%
67.0%
33.0%
Dach
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Dach
Wright
Last 7: Dach 5-2 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Dach
Wright
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dach
3
0
Dach
Wright
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dach
2
1
Dach
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dach
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
39.8% (108)
39.5% (453)
+0.3%
Power Play
57.1% (7)
42.4% (59)
+14.7%
On power play, Dach has a +14.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Dach is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (30).
Dach shoots right. Wright is 42.9% vs right-shot opponents (119).
Home / Away
Dach
Wright
Home
43.1% (72)
39.5% (286)
Away
37.2% (43)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Dach
Wright
P1
37.8%
39.9%
P2
41.7%
37.1%
P3
44.1%
42.9%
Final 5 min
48.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dach
42.0%▬
42.0%
40.9%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 14:16 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 08:56 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 3 | 01:12 | Neutral | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 2 | 04:56 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:49 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 13:46 | Defensive | Kirby Dach |
| Oct 14, 2025 | 1 | 04:03 | Offensive | Shane Wright |