Scouting Report
Marco Rossi holds a +10.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Rossi 50.4% vs Wright 41.4% (+10.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 80.8%
Defensive zone
Wright 86.0%
Neutral zone
Wright 87.2%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 84.3%
15.7%
84.3%
Rossi
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
6
(7 meetings)
1
6
Rossi
Wright
Last 7: Rossi 1-6 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
2
Rossi
Wright
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Wright
0
1
Rossi
Wright
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Wright
0
3
Rossi
Wright
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Rossi
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
52.8% (400)
39.5% (453)
+13.3%
Power Play
36.1% (36)
42.4% (59)
-6.3%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (27)
0.0% (1)
+37.0%
On penalty kill, Rossi has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Rossi is 48.3% vs right-shot opponents (145).
Rossi shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Rossi
Wright
Home
50.0% (242)
39.5% (286)
Away
51.1% (221)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Rossi
Wright
P1
54.9%
39.9%
P2
48.7%
37.1%
P3
47.9%
42.9%
OT
40.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
45.1%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Rossi
60.0%▲
51.5%
50.5%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 11:42 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Mar 14, 2026 | 1 | 05:40 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 17:00 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 3 | 10:59 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Feb 28, 2026 | 2 | 02:23 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 3 | 04:00 | Neutral | Shane Wright |
| Dec 29, 2025 | 2 | 06:31 | Offensive | Marco Rossi |