Scouting Report
Mark Jankowski holds a +14.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Jankowski wins 53.8% vs right-shot opponents — Wright shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Jankowski 53.2% vs Wright 41.4% (+14.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 63.1%
Defensive zone
Wright 56.9%
Neutral zone
Wright 68.3%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 61.0%
39.0%
61.0%
Jankowski
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Jankowski
Wright
Last 6: Jankowski 2-4 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
3
Jankowski
Wright
4 total
Defensive Zone
Even
1
1
Jankowski
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Jankowski
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
53.8% (515)
39.5% (453)
+14.3%
Power Play
41.7% (12)
42.4% (59)
-0.7%
Penalty Kill
57.9% (38)
0.0% (1)
+57.9%
On penalty kill, Jankowski has a +57.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Jankowski is 53.8% vs right-shot opponents (212).
Jankowski shoots left. Wright is 38.8% vs left-shot opponents (394).
Home / Away
Jankowski
Wright
Home
53.9% (310)
39.5% (286)
Away
53.7% (255)
40.1% (227)
By Period
Jankowski
Wright
P1
54.4%
39.9%
P2
55.7%
37.1%
P3
51.5%
42.9%
Final 5 min
54.7%
40.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Jankowski
50.0%▬
51.0%
53.8%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
39.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2026 | 3 | 02:39 | Offensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Mar 2, 2026 | 2 | 11:02 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 10:04 | Defensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 3 | 09:57 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 2 | 13:54 | Defensive | Mark Jankowski |
| Jan 10, 2026 | 1 | 05:25 | Offensive | Shane Wright |