Scouting Report
Sam Steel holds a +9.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Wright on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Steel 52.8% vs Wright 45.1% (+9.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Wright 60.0%
Defensive zone
Steel 51.1%
Neutral zone
Wright 50.6%
Result
Shane Wright favored at 56.3%
43.7%
56.3%
Steel
Wright
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
3
(6 meetings)
3
3
Steel
Wright
Last 6: Steel 3-3 Wright
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Wright
1
3
Steel
Wright
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Steel
2
0
Steel
Wright
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Steel
Wright
Edge
Even Strength
56.9% (320)
43.9% (758)
+13.0%
Power Play
71.4% (7)
50.7% (67)
+20.7%
Penalty Kill
37.0% (73)
40.0% (5)
-3.0%
On power play, Steel has a +20.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Wright shoots right. Steel is 51.1% vs right-shot opponents (176).
Steel shoots left. Wright is 44.9% vs left-shot opponents (604).
Home / Away
Steel
Wright
Home
55.9% (202)
46.3% (406)
Away
51.0% (198)
42.7% (424)
By Period
Steel
Wright
P1
55.5%
46.8%
P2
55.1%
42.6%
P3
50.3%
44.4%
Final 5 min
60.6%
43.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Steel
50.0%▬
49.0%
53.5%
Wright
44.0%▲
42.5%
44.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 18:40 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:18 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:11 | Defensive | Sam Steel |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 14:00 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 3 | 13:55 | Offensive | Shane Wright |
| Mar 29, 2025 | 1 | 05:15 | Offensive | Sam Steel |