Scouting Report
Shawn Horcoff holds a +1.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Horcoff on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Richards 48.5% vs Horcoff 50.2% (-1.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Richards 86.4%
Defensive zone
Richards 61.9%
Neutral zone
Richards 68.4%
Result
Brad Richards favored at 63.2%
63.2%
36.8%
Richards
Horcoff
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
5
(5 meetings)
0
5
Richards
Horcoff
Last 5: Richards 0-5 Horcoff
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
4
Richards
Horcoff
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Horcoff
0
1
Richards
Horcoff
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Richards
Horcoff
Edge
Even Strength
49.0% (769)
50.5% (374)
-1.5%
Power Play
39.2% (51)
55.0% (60)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
40.0% (5)
39.5% (38)
+0.5%
On power play, Horcoff has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Horcoff shoots left. Richards is 48.0% vs left-shot opponents (529).
Richards shoots left. Horcoff is 48.6% vs left-shot opponents (315).
Home / Away
Richards
Horcoff
Home
49.8% (424)
50.2% (263)
Away
46.9% (401)
50.2% (209)
By Period
Richards
Horcoff
P1
51.3%
49.0%
P2
44.8%
53.2%
P3
49.2%
48.7%
Final 5 min
46.5%
51.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Richards
46.0%▼
49.5%
48.4%
Horcoff
62.0%▲
55.5%
50.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 14:37 | Neutral | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 11:42 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 08:40 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 2 | 06:15 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |
| Mar 21, 2015 | 1 | 07:45 | Defensive | Shawn Horcoff |